Our Little Know it All
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Ur Girls Favorite Band
I’m sure, by this late date, that Kool Keith is extremely tired of being referred to as crazy or weird. He’s worked on a ridiculously long list of albums under an even longer list of aliases. Most recently, he came back at listeners with another Dr. Doom record. But he keeps on giving folks reason to talk – as if Black Elvis wasn’t enough.
Now, it seems as if Keith has assembled a super group. Ur Girls Favorite Band consists of Kool Keith, his long time collaborator, Kut Masta Kurt, Denis Deft, John Drummy and Yeti Beats. The groups Myspace page has a few tracks up and I don’t believe that anyone could have guessed the Keith would be involved with music like this.
It sounds more rock oriented than hip hop, but if Keith didn’t make people keep guessin’, than he wouldn’t be Keith.
There’s not too much information about the group at this point. Yeti Beats does have a website, replete with some great music videos – and some videos that really only have to do with Keith’s love of women. Either way, it’s pretty amusing. And if what’s just been described sounds like the Gorillaz, or other rap/rock hybrids, that makes sense. But sonically, none of those are really good touchstones for this project.
In the end, it seems that Kool Keith is willing to work in any medium as long as he finds it entertaining. There is always a bit of humor in his work, much like Del. But since listeners are working with a lonely pair of songs at this point, Ur Girls Favorite Band could wind up being just that.
Sinatra the Killer
When a viewer is accustomed to seeing an actor in one role, it’s sometimes jarring to watch a movie where that actor plays a drastically different character.
Suddnely gives the viewer that feeling twice, but still turns out to be a well written, acted and produced film.
One of my favorite movies is Dr. Strangelove, directed by Stanley Kubrick. In the film General Jack D. Ripper becomes obsessed with the safety of his bodily fluids at throws the nation into a nuclear war with its enemies. Playing such an iconic part, it’s surprising that Sterling Hayden didn’t achieve wide spread fame. He did, however, turn in a strong performance in Suddenly as the do-right copper who tries to save the day.
If that wasn’t enough, the assassin in the film is played by Frank Sinatra. And no matter how many times one watches this or The Man with the Golden Arm, it’s difficult to disassociate him from performing music. Here though, he turns in a rather compelling performance punctuated by two separate glaring spells where he looks, sadistically into the camera. There aren’t too many films or actors that would be capable of pulling off such a move, but here, Old Blue Eyes pulls if off with aplomb.
The plot, considering that the film was shot in 1954, becomes surprisingly relevant six years after its completion. Sinatra, in the film, has been contracted to assassinate the President, who is scheduled to roll through town, via train, at five o’clock.
Sinatra and his associate find the prime home in town to keep watch – and that’s where the film really begins.
The entire movei manages to work with the subplot of a widow, who lives in the invaded home with her son and father-in-law, who is anti-gun. The summation of the film makes an interesting point, but one that is explained to the widow repeatedly through out the film.
Perhaps the most notable aspect of this feature is the fact that the majority of the action takes place in a single room. Only the exposition finds the police chief in town to consult Secret Service men. But being relegated to a single room strengthens the film overall.
Because its scenic limitations, viewers need to be enthralled by the actors, their talent and more over, by the script. But all of this makes one think that Suddenly could be pulled off as a play – highly recommended.
Q: Who's Releasing '1969'? A: M9
One of my favorite rap discs from the ‘90s is the self titled Haiku d’Etat release. That group, and their lone disc, sported Abstract Rude, Mikah 9 and Aceyalone. Notably, the later two were at one time a part of the all too short lived Freestyle Fellowship, whose lone proper album released in the early ‘90s is still name checked if anyone talks about underground hip hop long enough. As a whole it’s not quite to the level of 36 Chambers or Illmatic, but some of the raps come pretty close.
Mikah 9, though has changed his name to the eerily similar Myka Nyne. That probably doesn’t demarcate some deviation in style – it just has some the letter ‘y’ in it now – that’s all.
What listeners have come to expect from Project Blowed affiliated folks – Myka Nyne being one of them – is a literate and at least passably socially conscience type of rap. Myka will not begin to disappoint here.
The new disc, entitled 1969 is slated to come out January 13th on Fake Four.
And for a preview from the disc, check out the label’s website for streaming mp3s (including the Busdriver track, which is pretty crazy). The site also clarifies who else will be appearing on the disc.
That answer is almost guaranteed to ensure the quality of the recording – Aceylone, Busdriver and Awol One are all accounted for. That list doesn’t seem odd considering that Myka Nyne has worked with most of these folks before. But that doesn’t make clear whether or not these new tracks are going to compare to The Weather – released with Busdriver and Daedelus – or Myka Nyne’s appearance on Vocal Studies + Uprock Narratives. But if 1969 comes close to any disc mentioned here, it’ll be sure to end up in the every growing canon of hip hop records.
Tracklisting: 01. Real Song 02. Inner Knowing 03. Soul Beat 04. Snake Bite 05. To the Sky 06. Options (feat. Aceyalone) 07. Cadillac Nights 08. Chopper (feat. Busdriver) 09. Elevated 10. Liberty 11. Hand Bone 12. Monte Carlo 13. Good Old Smokey (My Kanine) 14. 91 Octane (feat. Awol One & Gel Roc) 15. 1969another pharmacy
The iPhone Has Features That Allows Users to Check Their Blood/Alcohol Levels
The iPhone Has Features That Allows Users to Check Their Blood/Alcohol Levels Just when you think that they have already come with everything, and then some – get ready because more nifty gadgets are always being revealed that make online shopping fanatics, like you and me, well…ready to whip out that charge card and splurge on another shopping spree. And seemingly: the niftier the gadget, somehow the greater the popularity; with the exception of course to Tickle me Elmo and Pogs (if you do not remember what Pogs are, they were these silly cardboard disks that drove kids nuts, played with dice and a lead Pog piece called a Slapper.) At any rate, the newest of many sleek accessories to debut for the popular iPhone is a personal blood alcohol tester called the iBreath. (Check it out online here: http://www.davidsteele.com/ibreath-ipod-breathalyzer-p/ib-1000.htm). How it Works Basically you just plug this sleek and slim, black device into the bottom of your iPhone and then blow into the top of it, just like you would should the police pull you over, and you are forced to use theirs. It reads your blood alcohol level instantly and will tell you if you are legal to drive in your state, city, or county; it knows them all. The best part about this device is definitely the innovation behind it. What if you just kept this tucked in your glove compartment so just in case you think that you might be over the limit, you can check really quickly. And if you are, make the wiser decision to find alternative transportation home that evening. And for the price of $79.99 online, nearly anybody that can afford a lofty and lavish iPhone, can easily fit this DUI-saver into their budget. How Much it Costs: Versus Practical Applications This device is priceless if you really think about it. A normal breathalyzer would cost a few hundred dollars, which is why nobody owns one. This one is under a hundred dollars, and fits snug nearly anywhere. If you ever wanted to be sure, this is the way to be so. Hey Parents: This Could Come in Handy What about all of you parents out there who want to make sure that your children are not drinking, or have not been drinking, or will not drive drinking? Plug this in and say “Blow.” The iBreath will never lie. It will only confirm or deny your suspicions. What Will They Come out With Next? After seeing a rash of awesome gadgets debut in 2008, one can only wonder what they will come out with next time. Perhaps a phone that tells if you are sick and if so, what you are suffering from. Then it makes your doctor appointment for you and orders over the counter drugs online for local pickup…now wouldn’t that be handy. Check out this News Story Here is the news story, courtesy of ABC News, that I found regarding this breathalyzer that you can get for your iPhone. For anybody who is planning on partying this New Year, this can be a DUI saving device that reminds you to take a cab or get a ride from a friend instead of placing you and others at risk on the road if you are not in safe condition to drive.
Roundtable on Baseball Defense
In baseball, we're very, very used to be able to measure Ted Williams' hitting with very little essential noise. You have to adjust for Fenway, but other than that, when you look in there and see "career .497 OBP" you instantly realize that this wasn't Karl Malone getting set up by John Stockton. We are so used to this, that it's possible that we subconsciously assume that glovework can be measured in (substantially) the same way. Hey, this is baseball... -DrD2) The desire to get at the individual quantification has clouded the judgement of many brilliant people - because the greatness of pitchers and hitters has always been squarely focused on individual achievement with lip service being paid to the “concept” that team concerns can skew things, (Kent / Bonds and arguments about “protection”). But, do we actually have anything close to a “protection factor” for hitters? No. SO, WHO IS IN THIS ORCHESTRA? 1) Fielders 2) Pitchers 3) Positioning 4) Parks 5) Injuries 6) Consistency Common wisdom says that Andruw Jones was one of the best CFs of all time for a number of years. During those years, the Braves had the most dominant stretch of defensive excellence in baseball history, (I’d love for Matt to uncover any other DER-dominant teams over time). Lots of OTHER players washed thru the system, but the Braves continued to be top 10 in DER - (often top 5 or top 3). It is EASY to over time equate the defensive dominance to the players that stayed. At one time, BECAUSE of this reality, I had reached the conclusion that CF defense was vastly UNDER-rated in the defensive scheme. (I could spot DER-winning teams just by glancing at CF routinely).
An interesting observation. Hm. So, Sandy is practiced at watching CF defense and gauging its relation to overall defense. He's got me on that one. Maybe he's the only guy who ever did that, other than all the ex-center fielders. :- ) -DrDThe key, I believe, it is NOT about defensive positioning. Nor is it about pitching excellence. Nor is it about having great defensive athletes. It is about the COMBINATION of the factors that matters.
If true, this has its analogue in chess. You need piece activity, and weaknesses, and timing, and initiative, to converge: if one is missing, the whole thing can fall apart. Similar things occur in a game of basketball. You can pull a guy off the court, even at the YMCA, replace him with a dweeb, and have the whole thing unravel. -DrDSeattle has had dominant BULLPENS - and an incredible knack for having bullpen arms exceed their TTO outcomes. Even while Seattle TEAM defense was horrid - Seattle would routinely have incredible INDIVIDUAL pitchers in regards to DER.
Huh. :blinks: -DrDIt is easy to hand-wave away this reality with small data pool coughs. I think the reality is that Seattle was (in some cases) doing excellent defensive positioning — for those pitchers who WERE the dominant force in the battle, the club positioned for the PITCHER - and the simplified pitching patterns for relievers paid dividends. But, the exact same positioning guidelines, when applied to starting pitchers were beyond dreadful.
I think I understand the points: (1) That the hackneyed defensive schemes worked behind excellent pitchers but not good ones, and (2) That the excellent pitchers influenced the batted balls to go towards the fielders the M's had positioned, but I'm foggy on how exactly this would work. -DrDI believe the DER-dominant Braves teams got that way by a combination of factors: 1) They CARED. They not only spent a great deal of time and effort in regards to defensive positioning — they also tweaked said positioning on a batter-to-batter basis. The announcers would routinely talk about how Bobby Cox was moving the LF waaaay over when a given batter was at the plate. He’d do this when Maddux was pitching. The next night, same hitter - different positioning.
And the caring itself can create the "ki" necessary for success. Compare Scioscia's forcing his catchers to discuss pitch calls with him. It brings intuition into the equation, and it also creates a quicker-reacting ballplayer. -DrD2) Where the ball heads off the bat is a result of pitch spotting AND batter tendencies. If a pitcher is unable to consistently spot his pitches, then the trend lines for batter spray charts is going to also change. I believe the reason that Atlanta dominated in DER for so long was that they had a trio of pitchers who were all above average in pitch SPOTTING. They also had a pitching coach who preached simplicity. Instead of trying to harnass 6 different pitches, and “fool” the batter — it was the Lombardi approach — it was about EXECUTION of a specific plan. If your pitchers have great stuff — but are ERRATIC with it — then correct positioning gets progressively harder.
If true, this dovetails with Dr. Naka's opinion that Seattle fielders were not in synch with pitch locations (because Kenji wasn't making it easy for them to pick up the locations).3) The JUMP! The #1 words out of an announcers mouth for OF defense is a choice — either “he got a GREAT jump on that ball!” or “he got a really bad jump on that one.” The fielders not only have to be positioned correctly, they ALSO need to understand what that pitching plan is for each hitter. If they know that your plan is to throw 80% of your pitches outside, they know where the pitch is SUPPOSED to go — and they can actually see a mistake while still on the way to the plate. I believe the best defenders are actually adjusting their expectations BEFORE the hitters begin their swing. The fielders are ALL hitters, too. They know the typical results from given pitches. They know whether it’s Willie B at the plate or Adam Dunn. THAT factors into their ball trajectory computers.
Every ballplayer knows that this jump can easily equate to two strides. What do you think is the difference between a good ML fielder and a bad one? Two strides. -DrD4) INTENSITY!!! This is an echo of item #1. You have to care enough about defense to work and strive to do the best you can to position. BUT, you MUST have players that are on board to this importance. This is an arena where I believe a defensive LEADER can have beneficial (or detrimental) impact on his teammates. When the Superstar is diving for balls — or asking for extra defensive drills — the entire team can catch defensive fever. While many of the defensive metrics were skeptical of Junior’s defense (even when he was winning GGs), the WAY he played defense set the tone for the entire team. I believe that it is a ROUTINE occurrence that 2nd half DER’s for losing teams likely rise. I think that “part” of the belief that offense surges when it gets warm is ACTUALLY related to the fact that as it gets later in the season, more teams have less reason to give 100% DEFENSIVELY. Players won’t let up offensively, because they all understand the offensive stats. But errors are the only defensive stat that anyone understands (or pays attention to outside of some geek statheads, like us here).
Agreed, 100%. When teams are playing flat, all of this "loss of ki" should show up in worsening DER. In fact I hadn't thought of it quite this way, but it might be the FIRST place that you'd see a depressed, flat ballclub losing actual, measurable runs. When you lose interest, you lose your jump on the ball. I wonder if scouts would agree: that a team "waiting to lose" is watching "almost-got-it" hits go by their fielders. This particular point is worth the price of admission. Sandy, you da man. -DrDOf course, what this gets translated into is that PITCHERS on bad teams swoon as the year gets long. But, nobody pays much attention to team DER. Even fewer pay attention to pitcher DER. I believe that the reason the numbers mostly support the contention that pitchers cannot “control” where the ball goes, so BIPAs are believed to be completely random - is that teams that ARE astute defensively, are the very ones that ADJUST from pitcher to pitcher to allow every pitcher his best chance at success. So, defense tends to thrive behind entire teams. Conversely, teams with lousy defensive sense are prone to play bad defense behind everyone. And when you find exceptions, (like Washburn in Seattle prior to 2008), it’s shrugged off as “noise”.
One of the things that frustrates us the most: that when we find contradictory data, we are unfriendly to it. It's not that "there is no evidence that Adam Dunn can play LF" -- the evidence is 2008's metrics, even if we don't like that evidence. That piece of evidence doesn't mean that (say) Dunn can play LF, but we shouldn't train ourselves to think of it as "no evidence." This is the biggest of all of Sandy's biggest contributions to the local blog-o-sphere: he sees the data that we don't like. :- ) F-500 companies pay big $$ for "fresh perspective." Sandy's fresh perspective is mass kewl. -DrDI also believe that players who learn good positioning - and put the puzzle together early, take that knowledge with them, and this allows them to excel in a new location, even if the new regime is mostly clueless. This is why, I believe, you get the 40-year-old GG on a team where defense seems weak overall. When asked to do something stupid, he chimes in, (armed with his wall of GGs), and suggests that X would be better than Y.
Hm. How would this apply to the recent Mariner DER's? Some guys were brought in from outside, right? Well, now that I think about it, maybe not .... the 2B, SS, CF were homegrown...Raul doesn't count... Beltre did play well ... Wlad's homegrown ... maybe the M's indeed didn't have imported positioning whizzes. Fair to assume that F-Gut has this knack for positioning, in view of his results? -DrDAll of the above happens BEFORE you start speaking about athletic ability. There is no doubt that individuals have different levels of athletic prowess for catching or throwing. Certainly it HAS to be a factor. The ability to dive and catch a ball demonstrates a skill — (especially compared to the bozo who allows a ball to bounce off his head and over the wall). But attempting to isolate the violin part in the orchestra BEGINS by admiting that there actually IS an orchestra playing, not just the violin. I could throw out random percentages of potential “influence” on defense. 1) Positioning = 30% 2) Pitching = 25% 3) Athleticism = 24% 4) Desire = 11% 5) Park/Experience = 10% This would be almost useless, (other than as a prod for the statheads to attempt to begin isolating these instruments). The BIGGER implication is that if the actual INDIVIDUAL aspects are only a sub-percentage of the entire number, then the INDIVIDUAL importance of defense can only drop, (and it can potentially drop DRASTICALLY). If I could use a time machine to discover the wisdom from 2109 - perhaps I’d say that individual prowess in 2009, was only responsible for 20% of the defensive picture. (But, when every team actually reaches the same level of expertise on all those other factors — the individual impact would rise toward 100%). I believe UZR and RAR and every other defensive metric suffers from the Leeches and Blood-letting reality of the analysis having been limited to only a single instrument — the conclusions actually may just be largely static. -Sandy ................... image: http://coveringthebases.files.wordpress.com/2008/05/jones_andruw.jpg
RIAA and Campus Music
Since 2003, the RIAA has sued thousands of college students, faculty, and parents across the U. S. for what it asserts is illegal file trading of mp3 tracks via P2P networks. They also send "pre-litigation" letters to users asserting illegal music downloads and demanding a settlement that, typically, is in the thousands.
In many cases, the RIAA has sued the wrong people. They sued an elderly woman who exclusively uses a Macintosh, and accused her of using a Windows-only application, Kazaa, to download many mp3 files of explicit rap music. Eventually, the RIAA withdrew its suit. Part of the difficulty in the RIAA's approach is that it attempts to force ISPs, particularly those at universities, to identify individual users by IP numbers. This is less than reasonable given that most ISPs and campuses use temporary IP leases. Any number of users use the same IP number, at different times. It's expensive, and sometimes impossible, to identify an individual user in the past. You can read a summary here of the RIAA's litigation efforts.
Obviously, there are illegal users, though they are in the minority; most people want to pay artists for their work. The popularity of services like Amazon's MP3 store and Apples iTunes store clearly prove that people are willing to pay for convenient quality downloadable music.
Recently Warner Music, in collaboration with other producers, proposed an agreement with several universities in which Universities and ISPs would charge all users a flat tax to download music, whether or not the users actually used the service. In return for the monies, the music industry participants agree to provide the universities with a "covenant not to sue," which is not the same as a legal, contractual agreement not to sue. The reaction to this plan has not been overwhelmingly positive, and has prominently featured the word "extortion." Part of the problem is that the funds would be collected and distributed by a non-profit, but the means of distribution have not been specified. There are a number of unanswered questions about how the artists would be paid.
In the midst of this ongoing discussion, last week the RIAA announced a moratorium on law suits, instead signing agreements with a number of unnamed ISPs in which ISPs promised to notify alleged file-sharing users, and cut off their access if they do not stop.
Many campuses have attempted to circumvent illegal downloading and file sharing by blocking specific applications, or networks, or using exotic filtering routers; none of these methods work for long. Personally, I think a lot more needs to be done in terms of education; many people genuinely don't understand that they are taking money away from musicians who need it.
Tale of the Tape - Mike Carp vs Mike Saunders
When you state: Michael Saunders minor league performance: “has been considerably better than Carp’s”, it is not completely true. Saunders has a career .798 minor league OPS, to Carp’s .811. By STRAIGHT numbers, the comparison is: .274/.371/.440/.811 - Carp .274/.362/.436/.798 - Saunders Not a completely fair comparison - since Saunders career line is pulled down by a 95-AB AAA line of .708, and Carp hasn’t touched AAA yet. But, ASIDE from age, there’s no footing whatsoever for the assessment that Saunders has been “considerably better”.1. If Carp has been as good as Saunders, performance-wise, then he was a much better addition than I thought. Hope that you’re right amigo - of that rest assured :- ) ..................... 2. I guess I'll need more info as to why Carp's performance would be viewed as comparable to Saunders'. Granted, Sandy says, "Aside from age...." but to that we can confidently say, HUH?! Is there a motion on the floor to disregard age when evaluating minor leaguers? :- ) I doubt it would be seconded...
Saunders has a career .798 minor league OPS, to Carp’s .811. By STRAIGHT numbers, the comparison is: .274/.371/.440/.811 - Carp .274/.362/.436/.798 - Saunders ... [and to be fair, Sandy does go on to explicitly note that he knows the career line isn't the *whole* story. - Dr D]:blinks: I think we're launching a new sabr method here, comparing minors careers lines ... ;- ) We agree that it's not the whole story; where we differ is whether it's any appropriate part of the story, I guess. Can you compare career lines between minor leaguers as any sort of enlightening point from which to start? Not sure you can... . === Apples to Apples Dept. === Of course we all know that apples-to-apples is the way to comp out minor-leaguers. Let me suggest that the starting point for doing so is the age-of-arrival, and performance, in the higher minors (that's AA and/or AAA). If you don't know anything else about a player, ask when he got to AA/AAA, and what he did there. We can get a bead on Carp's and Saunders' respective developments, by comparing their age-of-arrival at AA, and how they did there. (Both were hitting in neutral parks; Carp's park was a bit more hitter-friendly than Saunders'.) Carp at 21 years of age flunked out of AA ball -- that's a bit 'arsh, lads, but still. Carp repeated the AA level at 22, and when *repeating* the same league (facing many of the same pitchers, in the same parks) hit [ = somewhat above-league-average plus 30 walks]. This puts Carp a solid 2+ years behind "Grade A" benchmark: to be a Grade A prospect, you should be one of the 10 or 20 best players in your AA league, at age 20. Carp, at 22, repeated the Eastern League, and was above-average -- definitely not "one of the best" players in the league. ................ Saunders, at 21, in his FIRST trip around the AA Southern League, already hit about as well in AA as Carp did the NEXT year at 22 -- when repeating the level. Saunders, at 21, was then promoted to AAA, at an age at which Carp was struggling in AA. As a fleet center fielder, Saunders' hitting line at 21 was quite good, and it would be no stretch to call him an All-Star level Southern Leaguer at 21. (You can let me know if he actually was. I didn't look it up, but did hear something about his being on a World team of some kind, LOL.) So in terms of performance and results, Saunders was 1.00 years behind the "Grade A Prospect" performance benchmark, whereas Carp is about 2.25 years behind it. And the AA performances aren't "fliers" for either hitter. The rest of their careers, IMHO, make sense along with their AA performances. ............ Roughly-similar-style, big LH hitters, who have roughly comparable AVG/OBP/SLG profiles -- one being about 1.00 years behind "Grade A" and the other tracking about 2.25 years behind. From that standpoint, you see why I put a clear delineation between the two. ................ The kicker here is that Saunders' blue-chip status isn't really based on his past performances. He's a big, fleet 6'4" center fielder with projectable power and outstanding speed. He isn't considered a potential ML All-Star because of what he's done on the field; he's expected to leap plateaus from here. Saunders is a tools-scout favorite, not a sabermetrician's favorite. .................... Could be that Mike Carp is also going to hop plateaus; apparently Dr. Zoidberg is thinkin' that. We'll see. Your serve, Dr D ........................ image: http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/0cA19Id9qYc8x/610x.jpg