Copenhagen’s Night of Culture
Denmark is a country that takes one day out of the year to celebrate the cultural elements that are unique to its people. This event takes place all over the country, but the Copenhagen Night of Culture is by far the largest and most well-known.
On this night (and throughout most of the day) visitors are presented with a unique chance to see a great deal of the important cultural and historical sites of the city in a way that they’d never be able to normally. Many great locations open their doors on this night only, allowing both locals and tourists alike to get a look at places that are usually closed to the public.
Copenhagen Night of Culture takes place each year in mid-October and today attracts more than 75,000 people for this single day event. More than 250 venues open their doors, hosting more than 500 different events and activities. Churches, museums, art galleries, breweries, libraries, schools, theaters and numerous political buildings all take part in the event.
In addition to being able to tour the unseen halls of Copenhagen, the city puts on several exhibitions and other presentations to educate people on Denmark’s culture. These take place at the private venues and also in public areas. One can expect everything from music to poetry performances to art installations to demonstrations of dance. This night of culture is an all-ages experience and many of the presentations are designed specifically with children in mind.
For those that wish to learn more about Copenhagen, and Denmark in general, this is the perfect opportunity. Each venue charges individually (many of them are free), or one can pick up a Night of Culture Pass so that everything is free, including public transportation around the city. If you happen to be in Copenhagen at the right time, there are few better ways to experience everything that makes Denmark what it is today.
Shaun Marcum and Hisashi Iwakuma
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We break from our moratorium on actual baseball pictures in order to bring you this virtual representation of ... sunlight.
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=== Do We Really Need Matt Damon AND Mark Wahlberg? ===
Ghost mentions about Marcum in the comments. (My wife's family is a Marcum family, third-gen from Ireland and England - cf. the Shaun spelling. Betcha they're not too distantly related.)
Shaun Marcum and Hisashi Iwakuma are two of the most-comparable pitchers in the majors. Both use a 25-25-25-25 type ratio of pitches; Marcum uses a killer 80 changeup, Iwakuma a 84 shuuto in order to glean the necessary MLB(TM) respect. If Marcum didn't have his straight change, if Iwakuma didn't have his shuuto, they'd be AAAA pitchers. Those signature weapons are the keys to their careers.
They pitch in VERY similar ways.
As well, Marcum has a lifetime Three True Outcomes of 7.3 K, 2.8 BB, and 1.2 HR, compared to Iwakuma last year, which was 7.4, 2.7, and 1.1. Here, let's split that out, just for the brainiac Big Blog lurkers among us:
K | BB | HR | |
Marcum | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
Iwakuma | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
We kid, we kid. You know we love ya, LrKrBoi29 ... :- )
Marcum and Iwakuma would be statistically identical, even if they didn't pitch the same way, which they absolutely do. Seven+ strikeouts is almost impossible when nobody respects your heater, but these two guys have cornered the market on pitchability. They are solidly in the Greg Maddux / Jamie Moyer template.
Both get a huge amount of whiffs for their stuff, but both also have to be careful about the gopher ball. In this respect Iwakuma has the nod, because he gets groundballs. The grounder ratio is the big thing that creates an important difference between the two.
In Marcum's corner, you've got the counterbalancing factor that his major league history is much better established. That's the same thing as saying he's a more sabermetric-friendly asset; saber is about PAST PERFORMANCE analysis. Marcum's past is superior to Iwakuma's.
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=== Said All That to Say This, Dept. ===
If you don't pair these two guys off, you don't believe in baseball comparables, period. You couldn't find two pitchers who were cut from more similar cloth. Pretty rare to see two guys pitch the same way, and yet wind up with SUCH identical statlines, not when those statlines are unusual.
There is a payoff here - a generalization that you can draw about pitchers within this template.
Bill James once said that this kind of pitcher "will be able to get outs as long as he's able to raise his arm above his head." SSI is a bit squeamish about Hisashi Iwakuma's ability to munch 200 innings, and Marcum also poses questions about his TJ elbow. Neither is a bankable 600 IP the next three years, but both will be #2-3 quality starters whenever they are able to pitch.
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=== Blue Tag 99c Mondays ===
There's an excellent Fangraphs article rat cheer with a .gif that captures Marcum better than 500 words could. As Mike Axisa puts it, "when people see a swing like this, with a radar reading [of 87], it kinda freaks them out a little. It doesn't look or feel right" .... which echoes the way the Seattle Mariners froze Iwakuma-san out of their rotation in the first half of 2012.
Shaun Marcum has THE slowest fast pitch in the major leagues.* This does not win him friends in baseball dugouts, any more than Iwakuma's wussy-looking repertoire made people any quicker to understand him. Put Jamie Moyer in a doppleganger body, so that nobody knew who he was, and he wouldn't have a chance...
Marcum figures to be way undervalued in the FA market because (1) it's "ugly" to watch him pitch, and (2) his durability is a legit question. But what that means, for the discerning shopper, is a huge value opportunity. The M's paid 50c on the dollar for Iwakuma, and perhaps could do something similar on Marcum.
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=== The Tools of Victory, Dept. ===
Let's finish up with Ron Shandler's take on Marcum for 2013:
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[High Base Performance Index of 75, making him an HQ roto favorite]
Elbow injury cost him two months, but his skills remain those of a solid starter. Miller Park has done him no favors -- he was over a run a game better on the road in 2012, over two runs better in 2011. He's a FA and a flyball pitcher. If he lands in a decent pitcher's park and the elbow is sound ... UP: sub-3.50 ERA
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Me personally, I dunno that I wouldn't just want to go with:
- Felix
- Mr WBC-san
- Erasmo Ramirez
- Paxton, Hultzen, Capps and/or Wilhelmsen
With the kids we got in this org, man, let them pitch. Get their year of learning out' the way in 2013. As Gordon has emphasized, other orgs let their Gio Gonzalezes pitch before they are 100% suitable for baseball's All-Star Game. Why are 4-walk rookies okay for the backs of other rotations, but the Seattle Mariners are morally above the muck and grind of watching a rookie SP take his lumps?
But if the Mariners feel the need for a #4 pitcher, Shaun Marcum looks like the man. Between him AND Iwakuma you can bank on 250+ star power innings for about $15M.
As a #4 starter, Shaun Marcum would make a whale of a #2-3 starter.
BABVA,
Dr D
............
*The exceptions are not relevant.
2012 Pitching Leaderboards -- Command/Control Index
With the hitters, I eventually came up with three numbers to provide a thumbnail sketch of the player's season: a Plate Skills Index (indicator of OBP), a Production Index (indicator of offensive production and more-or-less SLG), and a Composite Index, which was a combination of the first two (indicator of OPS). You can find all of that at "What the Three Numbers Mean"
For pitchers, I have set it up very similarly. There will also be three numbers, on which a "100" score is roughly the minimum level for how prospects perform when they are future MLB contributors.
The first of the three numbers is "Command/Control Index," which is based on the "Hitter's +/-" stat, and is essentially the reverse of Plate Skills Index. It is an indicator of the pitcher's ability to "win plate appearances" and limit OBP by throwing strikes and avoiding balls, and by throwing "pitcher's pitches" and not "hitter's pitches."
Put another way, can the pitcher throw strikes and avoid balls without serving up meatballs?
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Stat: Command/Control Index, based on the pitcher's "Hitter's +/-" stat
Rule of Thumb: Any score above 100 indicates a performance better than the rough minimum for a prospect likely to be an MLB contributor. The higher the better.
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Starters:
- Jordan Pries (22) 140
- Robert Shore (23) 127
- Stephen Landazuri (20) 127
- Rusty Shellhorn (22) 120
- Trevor Miller (21) 120
- Tyler Pike (18) 117
- Erasmo Ramirez (22) 113
- Anthony Fernandez (22) 111
- Dylan "Sharkie" Unsworth (19) 106
- Charles Kaalekahi (20) 104
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Relievers:
[Technical non-qualifier (96 BF): Matt Brazis (22) 225]
- Carter Capps (21) 172
- Brian Moran (23) 141
- Kyle Hunter (23) 135
- Bobby LaFromboise (26) 130
- David Holman (22) 123
- David Colvin (23) 123
- Danny Farquhar (25) 122
- Austin Hudson (24) 117
- Stephen Pryor (22) 117
- Carson Smith (22) 113
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Below age-arc (young for level) pitchers:
- Capps (21) 172
- Pike (18) 117
- Ramirez (22) 113
- Brandon Maurer (21) 103
- Victor Sanchez (17) 100
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Notes:
- Don't forget that Fernandez (111) and Smith (113) were pitching mostly at High Desert (Smith entirely), where any little mistake can punish you. So their numbers are extra-impressive.
- Pries, Shore and Shellhorn were major-college guys pitching in the lower levels, so take that with a grain of salt.
- Farquhar pitched very well in winter ball, as well, and could be a surprise choice for the MLB pen if they should need a righty. Just sayin'.
$200,000 party for Beyonce’s baby
Jay-Z and Beyonce spent $200,000 on their daughter’s first birthday party. Most parents will tell you that this is a party that babies will not remember, so really, they spent the money on themselves.
A whopping $95,000 on pink and white roses turns my stomach, since this is more than my husband and I have made in the past two years together—and costs more than a house in our price range. I’m all about being grateful for what we have, but that’s just ridiculous.
So is the $80,000 diamond-encrusted Barbie they bought the baby. Um, can you say choking hazard?
My BFF and I had a disagreement a while back about the benefits of growing up poor—something we both did. We can provide better for our children than our parents did for us (most of the time), mostly because our parents had three children and we both only have one.
That said, she thinks that she would rather her child grow up in luxury than poverty, having tasted the latter, and I say that my poverty gave me character that luxury never would have. “I don’t want her to go hungry,” I argued, “but she’s not getting the latest gadgets and gizmos until she’s old enough to appreciate them.”
I don’t want my child to go without, but I’m really, really glad that I don’t buy her diamond Barbies.
Body positive resolutions
My mother and I have made some body positive resolutions this year—namely, we just want to move! We both work at home and often find ourselves homebound or simply sitting for a long, long time, and we want to get strong and stay strong for the rest of our lives by making sure we move our bodies. That’s it.
No weight loss (any would be welcome for us, but not required—kind of a like a birthday party for the kid who has everything), no pressure, no guilt. Just movement and having fun, enjoying our bodies and ourselves. Her plan is to work out by walking when it’s nice out and using her elliptical trainer when it’s cold.
My plan is also to walk, as we rejoined the rec center, as well as to do my dance and workout DVDs each day. I’m not up to a full hour yet, but I’m getting there, and I adore Latin dancing. I really recommend Latin Grooves, which is all about having a good time. The leader never mentions weight loss, though she does mention being beautiful, sexy and strong.
I see a lot of bad reviews on Amazon about this program, and I feel like I need to post a rare review because I love it! The heart and soul of Latin dance—combined with some funky tribal steps—are just so apparent and I have so much fun doing it. I lived in Spain for a few months, so maybe that’s why I really enjoy it.
What’s your body positive resolution? If you don’t have one, you can watch this body positive video and think up one for yourself today. And don’t worry about it being too late in the year; you can start any day, any month! Here are a few ideas that you might want to use for a body positive resolution…
Choose a way to move every day that makes you feel good, whether it’s aerobics, walking or dancing with your children.
Make peace with food. Eat when you’re hungry and stop when you’re full. Eat what makes you feel good!
Compliment yourself every day in the mirror. Say “I love you,” or just tell yourself how gorgeous you look and feel. I told myself, “I’m so proud of you!” yesterday and made myself cry. I’m serious, this is a good thing!
Drink lots of water to hydrate yourself when you are thirsty.
Not In Her Shoes
Have you heard about the Not in Her Shoes project? It’s part of the This Is Personal Campaign, a movement to make sure the world knows that a woman’s medical decisions are her own and nobody else’s damn business. It’s a Tumblr blog that gives women a voice without sexualizing them or focusing on how they look—save for their shoes.
That’s right—you share your shoes. Just take a photo of them (with you in them preferably, but I’m sure you could take one with them empty if you prefer) and share why no one else walks in your shoes, no one else knows you personal situation, and no one should make your personal decisions except you.
I love this idea because it’s so easy to participate and get so many voices heard in a single, simple platform. Any bloggers of any ages can participate, and it’s really fun to read the stories and share what it means to make our own decisions as women together. Plus, while I’m not a shoe person myself, I know lots of people do like to admire shoes, which I’m sure makes it fun, too.
You can share a photo alone, or as long of an entry as you like by visiting Not in Her Shoes.
Take action for animals, against guns and more
Have you heard about President Obama’s new comprehensive plan against gun violence? I’m sure if you follow the news at all—or if you’re on Facebook, for that matter—it’s not news anymore. The same people who want to control my reproductive rights and the marital rights of my same-sex friends are having a huge issue with the government wanting to take away their high-powered assault rifles. Who knew!
The NRA is having a field day with this, claiming it will be the battle of the century, which I suppose they’ve been waiting for, what with all of those guns. They have even resorted to attacking the president’s children in their ads. They’re just classy like that. What the hell else would they be stockpiling them for? This whole argument that you can’t regulate the 2nd Amendment is a joke; what, are we supposed to let you have atomic bombs in your basements?
And as a person with a uterus, I can tell you that states are happy go lucky creating regulations on current laws. Ask anyone who’s tried to get an abortion. I volunteer for Planned Parenthood and I know over 85 percent of the women in my state alone have to drive hours to get one—and then jump through even more hoops for the life-saving medical procedure.
Anyway, learn more and take action at the links above, or here, or here, and while you’re at it, how about asking Apple to stop producing the NRA app that allows 12-year-olds to shoot assault rifles on their phones?
I know some liberals do like their guns—though you do know that we will not have peace with the around, don’t you, brothers and sisters?—so if you want to skip over those actions, maybe you’ll take action for the animals instead:
Help stop illegal elephant poaching in Asia by asking that elephants be protected from birth onward, not just during adulthood when tusks develop. Elephants aren’t even require to be registered until age 8, making baby elephants especially at risk for trading. Bay elephants need protection, too.
More than 30 wolves have already been trapped and gassed since October 1 since the practice is now legal in Wyoming. Click above to tell the governor to stop this brutality from happening. And while you’re at it, can you also add your voice to the campaign to save the endangered red wolf?
Making 2013 your best year
I’m all about self-discovery programs. I’m not about self-improvement anymore because I think we’re often better off loving ourselves as we are, which leads to becoming better naturally. Of course, anything that betters you and your life is great, and for me, that often comes in the form of guided journaling and taking on prompts in my journal.
Somehow, over the years, I’ve become rather adept at sniffing out really great blogs and programs over the Internet that I can use in my journaling—so adept, in fact, that I rarely even purchase books in this genre anymore. I did just buy Jill Badonsky’s The Nine Modern Day Muses, one of my favorite books about being more creative—and she’s just now launching a new book while I purchase this older one!—and highly recommend it for your self-discovery and journaling in the new year, but here are some online resources you can also turn to right now.
The Badass Dare. If you aren’t familiar with the Joy Junkie, AKA Amy E. Smith, you absolutely must check this woman out. She has taught me much about leaving behind the BS—especially when it comes to others’ opinions!—and her free New Year series, The Badass Dare, is teaching me even more. Visit the previous link to check it out.
Medical Marzipan. If you’re searching for a way to love your body, heal your relationship with food, and really just appreciate your life with you in it as you are, Mara Glatzel’s got you covered. She offers gentle weekly assignments you can work through and I love the various resources she compiles over the web.
The Firestarter Sessions. Holy cow, Danielle LaPorte rocks my socks off. I borrowed her book at the library but didn’t get through it all before it was due, and it still blew me away. You can get her free workbook questions and more information at her website.
Alexandra Frazen. Speaking of knocking your socks off, this woman has tons of tools to help you break through barriers, get your business rocking and generally improve your life.
Unraveling 2013. I am brand new to Sussanah Conway, but if her amazing workbook is any indication, I’m going to be a big fan. This is my favorite tool yet this month.
Jessica Mullen. Yet another incredibly cool and inspiring teacher, Mullen has these amazing “magic tricks,” worksheets, and other tools you can instantly print out to make your day that much more meaningful and creative.
When kids are smarter than their grown-ups
We like to think that we’re smarter than children, but in reality, without the grown-up baggage and misconceptions and, yes, biases that we have, they’re actually often quite brighter than we are. Consider this situation, a common occurrence with my seven-year-old daughter.
Yesterday I was trying to fit all of her new GeoSafari games into the actual laptop’s holder. I couldn’t get them all in and pronounced it hopeless. My daughter came along and started putting them in differently—just a few at a time.
“It won’t hold them all,” I told her, shaking my head. “I just tried it.”
She just glanced at me—barely!—and kept putting them in without a word. Within minutes, she proved me wrong with her patience. “Oh,” I said. “You got them to fit.”
She didn’t even smirk at me. It was so simple. And it happened again, two times, during the same day—once when she asked me to put wheels on a Lego creation and again when she wanted a shirt on her giant Care Bear. You’d think after a few reminders I would have got it, but nope.
“It’s not going to work!” I protested, only to either prove myself wrong within seconds—or for her to calmly do it again, without a word.
How does she even put up with me?
Reading Pile: 1/18/13
Todd The Ugliest Kid On Earth #1- I wanted to like it more because I did like the artwork, but the concept is pretty old hand and it sort of dragged its feet. It wanted to be funny by being wrong, but didn’t actually deliver anything truly funny except for maybe one joke. If you’re looking for messed-up-but-in-a-good-way humor, go pick up Arsenic Lullaby or Deep Fried. It wasn't too bad for $2.99, but it really didn’t maintain my attention enough for me to want to check out the next issue. C+
Savage Wolverine #1-We’ll see how long this lasts before Cho can’t deliver any more issues on time, but at least it’s a pretty piece of work until then. It wasn’t going to be anything more than pulp action with dinosaurs and scantily clad jungle girls, so as long as you know that going in its pretty much just a quick fun read. B+
Caligula Heart of Rome #2- The core concept that demons are influencing events in Rome is in itself interesting, as long as you don’t mind perverse violence and sex. The perverse sex violence (yes, it's often both at the same time) actually makes a lot of sense, it’s just that this an Avatar book after all so it may seem like that’s the point of the title. I’m not really going to argue against that conclusion either, it’s just pleasant to find an actual interesting idea being published by that company. B+
Avengers Arena #3- It’s like a well written train wreck and even though I don’t want most of these characters to die I can’t stop reading. Plus hey, Cammi from Drax and Annihilation! I was seriously wondering where the hell she’s been. B+
Saga #9- Still some impressive storytelling going on here and it feels that with each issue the readership expands and sales improve. I would say that this title is very close to becoming the best regular comic (not quite monthly) being published today. A
New Avengers #2- Despite that ridiculous cover, I have to say it’s fairly impressive that this wasn’t a boring issue what with all the exposition, kvetching, and nearly complete absence of any real action. In fact, if Hickman wrote a title called Debate Team Avengers, I would probably still enjoy it over any Bendis Avengers story. It is sort of funny that Hickman ALWAYS delivers on some sort of infographic for all his stories, but it doesn’t take anything away from the book. You can make a pretty nifty drinking game out of it though. A-